Foreign Policy Live

In this bonus episode, host Ravi Agrawal presents his recent essay arguing that U.S. President Donald Trump has peaked. While Trump still has two years left in office and immense potential for global disruption, Ravi makes the case that his coercive powers are in clear decline, as seen through a depleted military and an array of global moves to de-risk from the White House. As companies and countries realize this shift, they will change how they act toward the United States and how they think about a future world order.

Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked

Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules

Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order

Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance

Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development
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Behind every major decision, whether by a family buying a home or a shipping company deciding to transit the Strait of Hormuz, lies the judgment of the insurance markets. How do insurers evaluate risk, and what can we learn from how they attach a premium to conflict or natural disasters? John Doyle, the president and CEO of Marsh, a conglomerate that includes the world’s largest insurance broker, joins the show to discuss how he evaluates geopolitical risk—and how companies and countries should protect themselves from disruption.

Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked

Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules

Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order

Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance

Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development

Elisabeth Braw: Can Ships in the Gulf Take Trump at His Word?
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The global order may be broken, but international relations scholar Charles A. Kupchan has a plan to remake it. In a forthcoming Foreign Policy essay, he argues that because power is becoming more diffuse, regional groupings such as the European Union and Association of Southeast Asian Nations will become more essential. But to really manage global governance, he proposes the creation of a high-level brain trust that would sit above a currently paralyzed United Nations and resolve disputes between world powers. Kupchan joins FP Live to discuss how to put his provocative plan into action.

Plus, Ravi shares his read on how China and the United States are presenting two different visions of leadership at this week’s G-20 and Shanghai Cooperation Organization conferences.

Alexandra Sharp: Moscow’s Moment of Global Summitry

Comfort Ero and Richard Gowan: Peacemaking Is Power Politics Again

Bruno Maçães: What Comes After Global Order

Nick Danforth: Who Killed the Liberal International Order?
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The United States is burning through some of its most advanced munitions in its war with Iran this year. By some accounts, inventories of high-end Patriot and THAAD interceptors may be depleted by as much as 80 percent. Replacing them could take years, even as military planners worry about needs in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. Tom Karako, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Missile Defense Project, has tracked just how deep the shortfall runs and what it would take to fix it. He joins FP Live to assess the state of U.S. stockpiles and what it means about the future of American preparedness.

John Haltiwanger and Rishi Iyengar: The Iran War Has Left the U.S. Dangerously Exposed

Sam Skove: U.S. War in Iran Leaves Ukraine’s Air Defense in Limbo

Robert Almelor Delfeld: The U.S. Munitions Deficit Is a Political Problem

Franz-Stefan Gady: Europe’s Dangerous Hesitation on Its Own Air Defense
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Political outrage is a constant part of modern life, from social media to surges of global protests. But what actually changes? Why do so many structural issues seem deeply entrenched despite high levels of voter turnout? Anton Jäger has a term for this mismatch: hyperpolitics. He joins FP Live to explain the paradox of politicization without institutionalization, why right-wing parties maneuver this era more successfully, and whether the Democratic Socialists of America party is a sign of a new political order.

Plus, Ravi shares his read on why the United States canceled its joint military exercises with South Korea.

Alexandra Sharp: Is Trump Choosing North Korea Over South Korea?

Derek Grossman: Colby’s ‘Flexible Realism’ Won’t Work in the Indo-Pacific

Anton Jäger: The End of Political Parties

Steven A. Cook: Outrage Culture Is Ruining Foreign Policy
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