The Real Estate Espresso Podcast

On today’s show, we’re looking at the industrial outlook across the Western United States, based on Marcus & Millichap’s second-quarter 2026 market reports.
We’ll examine ten markets: Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Oakland, Orange County, Phoenix, Portland, the Inland Empire, Sacramento, San Diego, and Seattle-Tacoma.
The broad theme is straightforward.
Western industrial markets are still digesting a major wave of construction. In many locations, vacancy rose not because demand disappeared, but because new supply arrived faster than tenants could absorb it.
This is similar to what we saw elsewhere in the SE and the NE.
Let’s begin in Las Vegas.
The metro added nearly 24 million square feet of industrial space over the past three years. Even with positive absorption, vacancy increased by more than 10 points.
That is a supply problem.
Construction is now falling sharply. Deliveries are expected to reach an 11-year low, expanding inventory by only 1 percent. Roughly 80 percent of the space scheduled for completion was already committed as of April.
In the Inland Empire, roughly 107 million square feet of industrial space was delivered over the past five years. That's a massive amount of new construction.
That pushed vacancy near a 15-year high.
The pipeline is now contracting sharply. About 10 million square feet is expected to be completed this year, the smallest total since 2012.
For several years, Phoenix experienced one of the country’s most aggressive industrial construction cycles. Deliveries exceeded demand, and vacancy rose.
Now, large tenants are beginning to absorb that inventory.
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**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
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 Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  
**Y Street Capital:**
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On today’s show, we’re looking at the industrial real estate outlook across the Northeast corridor.
Marcus & Millichap recently published its 2Q 2026 industrial forecasts for 36 metropolitan markets across the United States. Today, we’re going to focus on six of them: Boston, New York City, Northern New Jersey, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington, D.C.
These markets are connected geographically by the I-95 corridor, but they are not all moving in the same direction.
There is, however, one common theme.
The wave of new construction that affected industrial markets over the past several years is beginning to recede.
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**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Today is the first in a four part mini-series on Industrial Real Estate across the US. The folks at Marcus & Millichap recently published 36 submarket reports across the US focusing on Industrial Real Estate. Today we are concentrating on six markets in the Southeast.
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**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show, we’re examining the Japanese yen carry trade and why its possible unwinding should be of interest to real estate investors thousands of miles away from Tokyo.
A carry trade sounds complicated, but the basic idea is simple. An investor borrows money in a currency with a low interest rate and invests that money in an asset offering a higher return.
The carry trade has its roots in an economic stagnation that started in 1991. Their stock market crashed in 1991 and the air came out of their real estate bubble? Over the next several years, the Japanese central bank lowered interest rates to try and stimulate the economy. By 1995 rates were at 0.5% and by 1999 they were down to zero. 
For decades, Japan was the natural source of that cheap money. Interest rates were near zero, and at times negative. Investors could borrow yen, convert the proceeds into dollars, euros, Australian dollars, or another currency, and purchase higher-yielding assets.
Carry trades depend on three conditions: cheap funding, stable exchange rates, and confidence that liquidity will remain available.
All three conditions are now being questioned.
The Bank of Japan has been moving away from the extraordinary monetary policies that made yen funding so attractive. At the same time, Japanese authorities have intervened in currency markets after extreme yen weakness. Even a rapid strengthening caused by intervention can force leveraged traders to reduce their positions. 
We saw a preview in August of 2024. A strengthening yen and changing expectations for Japanese interest rates helped trigger a rapid unwinding of leveraged positions. The result was not limited to the foreign-exchange market. Japanese equities fell sharply, volatility jumped, and investors sold assets elsewhere to meet margin calls and reduce risk. 
So what happens to credit markets when the carry trade ends?
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**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Dr. Anas Alhajji is one of the preeminent energy analysts in the world today. He is based in Dallas Texas. On today's show we are talking about the multiple factors that are affecting energy markets and global supply chains. Most of these factors are not making headlines and are largely being ignored by the markets.
To connect with Dr. Alhajji you can find him on Twitter at https://x.com/anasalhajji
His substack newsletter is widely followed and contains extraordinary behind the scenes analysis.
Daily: https://afalhajji.substack.com/
Weekly: https://anasalhajjieoa.substack.com/
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**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)