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Three Buddy Problem

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Three Buddy Problem
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241 episódios

  • Three Buddy Problem

    AI Doomers, Death Cults, and a Million-Dollar WeChat Worm Exploit

    11/09/2026 | 2h 37min
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 113: On the show this week, the buddies dig into an Anthropic researcher quitting with a warning that AI could kill us all, the San Francisco "death cult" and their motives, and agent swarms leaving junk on public wikis and university URL shorteners.

    Plus, a high-quality Anthropic's threat report and the claim that Moonshot was quietly serving Claude tokens as Kimi K3, live MikroTik and Chrome zero-days that landed a day ahead of the patches, and a WeChat worm that hijacks an account via phone calls.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter, TLP Black

    5:05 LabsCon, the last one, and JAGS on his keynote

    8:24 Costin's agentic CTI training and what old-school CTI is missing

    16:27 Anthropic's threat-intel report + IOCs

    20:00 APT29 and DarkSword on hotel Wi-Fi

    23:34 Bioweapons, guardrails, and what got shut down

    28:07 Why is anyone running these attacks on Claude at all?

    35:53 Distillation at industrial scale and the Kimi K3 fraud claim

    48:43 Chinese models, Americanized, running on DGX Spark

    55:00 Mr. America: local AI and the seven-layer cake

    1:04:34 Should frontier AI labs poison the distillers?

    1:27:05 What the frontier labs did to the security ecosystem

    1:34:22 Jacob Coxon quits, and the doomer argument falls apart

    1:59:13 Agent swarms littering the internet

    2:07:29 Chrome zero-days, MikroTik, patch-gaps
  • Three Buddy Problem

    Three Secret AI Civilizations Rose and Fell. Nobody Checked the Logs.

    04/09/2026 | 2h 7min
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 112: The 'OpenAI hacks Hugging Face' fallout has turned into a story about AI civilizations rising from the ashes, politicians calling for super-intelligence bans, and the emergence of well-funding non-profits doing AI safety work. Who are these people and what's their security expertise?

    Plus, GPT-6 Astra lands in a trusted-access program nobody can get into, Costin ranks the local models he runs next to his desk, and CrowdStrike sinkholes a botnet that's been alive since 2003.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter

    1:02 Conference season: LabsCon, Offensive AI Con, Countermeasure

    5:40 The Hugging Face story hits the front page

    7:04 Dwarkesh, Greenblatt, and the AI-pilled framing

    11:51 Swap "agents" for "Python" and the panic goes away

    16:34 Does anyone actually know what happened?

    21:18 Bernie Sanders wants to ban superintelligence

    34:03 Defending against swarms: the 2026 SOC

    39:15 Logs, Splunk, and the business model in the way

    44:11 What EDR vendors are actually building with AI

    56:16 The security poverty line and the endgame

    1:07:53 GPT-6 Astra, Fable 5.1, and local model rankings

    1:27:25 Google's Fairwind, CodeMender, and agents running Linux

    1:45:31 Apple's bet on local inference

    1:53:21 The Sality takedown and endgame advice
  • Three Buddy Problem

    A Thousand Agents Walk Into Hugging Face

    28/08/2026 | 2h 27min
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 111: OpenAI finally published a technical Hugging Face post-mortem, and Costin's verdict is blunt. He reads it as a document written for policymakers rather than for the blue teams who have to survive a thousand-agent swarm.

    We also dig into NVIDIA's $12.9 billion acquisition of Hugging Face, why JAGS thinks a frontier lab standing against open-source looks weak, and what that new industry open letter on cyber defense actually asks anyone to do. Plus, hotel Wi-Fi tradecraft after CaptiveCrunch, the FBI's ORB network takedown with Lumen, Chinese routers that ship backdoored from the factory, and the TeamPCP arrests in Australia.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter

    1:11 TLPBlack, incident response, and why it starts at the router

    4:11 CaptiveCrunch and Juanito's travel router kit

    7:59 Costin's VPN/hotel WiFi stack

    12:36 State of Statecraft, LABScon, and Offensive AI Con

    17:16 OpenAI's Hugging Face post-mortem technical report

    21:43 A swarm of a thousand agents

    27:35 Who was OpenAI’s report written for?

    33:05 Fail2ban, canaries, and catching agents in your logs

    40:34 NVIDIA buys Hugging Face for $12.9 billion

    44:42 The open weights fight and rooting for China

    52:47 Nemotron, DGX Spark, and the RAM price spiral

    1:03:26 Open letter on collective AI-powered cyber defense

    1:30:21 Lumen's Quartermaster and the FBI ORB takedown

    1:59:05 Backdoored ZBT routers, Chinese phones, and the TeamPCP arrests
  • Three Buddy Problem

    Inside the EncroChat law-enforcement implant, Irregular's AI sandbox failure

    21/08/2026 | 2h 11min
    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 110: We dig into Computer Weekly's scoop on the EncroChat hack and news that the French law enforcement implant was cobbled together from GitHub. Plus, Irregular, the $450M startup running sandboxes for OpenAI, Anthropic and Meta, drones over Romania's gas platforms, OpenAI's two-week training pause, and T-Mobile taking scissors to a cable during Salt Typhoon incident response.

    Stick around for a UFO segment that somehow involves Dr. Phil.

    Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter; LabsCon speakers announced

    9:06 A naval drone reaches the Neptun Deep gas platform

    17:38 OpenAI pauses RL training: what "slowing the pace of scaling" costs

    24:34 Guardrails vs refusals vs alignment.

    33:54 Irregular, formerly Pattern Labs: $80M, $450M valuation, one job

    46:11 JAGS on why security needs a new batch of startups right now

    1:06:52 EncroChat revealed: a GitHub-sourced implant, IOCs

    1:15:12 Law enforcement malware vs intelligence malware

    1:21:07 T-Mobile, Salt Typhoon, and cutting the cable with a pair of scissors

    1:32:06 Captive Crunch: hotel Wi-Fi, OAuth token theft, and the MSP supply chain

    1:47:00 ICE RELIC, UNC6293, and the trouble with subcluster naming

    2:00:39 UFO corner: David Grusch, Dr. Phil, and the Skywatcher Project

    2:05:44 Shout outs, the Costin Challenge
  • Three Buddy Problem

    A tiny 12 KB Windows backdoor, one victim, and a dead domain

    17/08/2026 | 2h 23min
    (Presented by State of Statecraft: A security and intelligence conference that brings together multiple disciplines, backgrounds, and nationalities to share research into the covert activities of nation-states and other malign actors.)

    Three Buddy Problem - Episode 109: The buddies dig into a new White House memo handing vetted private companies real offensive cyber authorities, and Costin explains why a stack of ransomware takedown cases has been sitting on a shelf waiting for exactly this.

    Plus, a tiny 12 KB Windows backdoor found on one machine with a dead C2, the mercenary outfits quietly living inside telcos, and why Google continues to flounder in the race for AI dominance.

    Cast: Costin Raiu, Ryan Naraine and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade

    Timestamps:

    0:00 Introductory banter

    0:58 State of Statecraft, and a late CFP window

    3:24 The White House offensive hacking memo

    6:37 "Hack back" is the wrong frame for what's being authorized

    11:20 Ransomware cases sitting on the shelf

    17:01 The million-dollar bond and who can realistically play

    22:29 Where DPRK crypto theft falls under the new definitions

    28:15 Would TLP Black take a contract?

    36:55 Gen Digital's 12 KB backdoor hiding its C2 in desktop.ini whitespace

    46:57 Passive DNS, registration patterns, and pivoting on a dead domain

    57:32 Feeding a one-off find back into detection engineering

    1:02:14 Metador, Mafalda, and the mercenaries who love telcos

    1:17:07 Armored Likho and what "Western APT" really means

    1:28:16 The IOC market, private reporting, and CTI’s matching problem

    1:58:10 Google's culture problem, the weekly model churn, and Patch Tuesday math
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Sobre Three Buddy Problem
The Three Buddy Problem is a popular Security Conversations podcast that goes beyond industry talking points to discuss what others won’t -- nation-state malware, attribution, cyberwar, ethics, privacy, and the messy realities of securing computers and corporate networks. Hosted by three veteran security pros -- journalist Ryan Naraine and malware paleontologists Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade -- the weekly show attracts a highly engaged audience of security researchers, corporate defenders, CISOs, and policymakers. Connect with Ryan on Twitter (Open DMs).
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