70 episódios
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AI may be entering its late-cycle phase as Wall Street finds new ways to keep the boom funded. Mike and Ryan unpack Nvidia’s $500 billion financing push, why it echoes crypto’s DAT season, and whether leverage is extending the AI trade or creating hidden risk. They also cover Treasury buybacks, Bitcoin’s $60K–$65K buy wall, and where Mike sees the next “fat pitch” opportunity.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:13 AI Trade Setup
3:12 On-Chain Milestone
6:57 Bitcoin Buy Wall
10:59 Treasury Buyback Shift
14:14 NVIDIA’s Credit Machine
25:24 AI Bull vs Bear
30:21 Real Yields Surge
36:03 Bear Market Outlook
39:04 The Next Fat Pitch
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only. - Bitcoin may be entering the final stretch of the bear market, but macro risks are starting to build. Mike and Ryan break down the Treasury’s new “QE Lite” play, why 30-year yields are breaking to 20-year highs, and how intervention in the yen could ripple across global markets. They also cover gold’s latest surge, Bitcoin’s key cycle levels, and whether one final risk-off move could send BTC toward deep value territory before the next expansion.
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🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE
https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:14 Bear Market Finale Setup
3:33 On-Chain Cohorts & Capitulation
10:09 Weak Volumes, Miner Selling
13:30 Inflation, Yen, & Gold
17:53 Treasury Yields Break Higher
26:04 Yen And Nasdaq Divergence
32:11 Bitcoin Price Scenarios Ahead
38:20 Pump Thesis & Cycle Upside
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only. - The Nasdaq has nearly erased a 10% selloff, but the bond market may be telling a very different story. Mike and Ryan break down why the Fed may be letting rising long-term yields tighten financial conditions, whether the rally in equities is built to last, and why Bitcoin may have already bottomed relative to the Nasdaq even if both markets still have more pain ahead. They also cover Bitcoin’s cycle metrics, Strategy’s latest BTC sales, and the possibility of one final move toward $55K before the next major buying opportunity.
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🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE
https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss
https://thedefireport.io/friends
https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/
https://x.com/the_defi_report
https://x.com/JustDeauIt
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:21 NASDAQ vs Bitcoin
2:04 Market Whipsaw Explained
6:32 Bitcoin Cycle Check
13:16 Strategy’s Bitcoin Stress
16:06 Bitcoin Dominance Shift
22:39 Bitcoin Versus QQQ
26:43 Fed Lets Yields Run
34:39 Staying Patient Into Year-End
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only. - The Fed may be forced to hike into an economy that looks strong on the surface but is weakening underneath. Mike and Ryan unpack the fault lines in labor, housing, savings, and credit, why the AI trade may be rolling over, and how one final risk-off move could send Bitcoin toward $55K before the next major buying opportunity.
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🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE
https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss
https://thedefireport.io/friends
https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/
https://x.com/the_defi_report
https://x.com/JustDeauIt
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:17 Fed Hike Shock Ahead
2:36 Market Signals Tighten
6:37 Fed Independence Questioned
11:10 Economy Under Pressure
16:32 Housing Fault Lines
21:14 Dollar Strength Warning
24:17 After the Sell-Off
28:40 Global Liquidity Outlook
31:00 Portfolio Patience
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only. - Bitcoin may be 80% through its bear market, but the bottom still isn’t confirmed. Ryan and Mike unpack weak demand, rising macro pressure, the risk of one more lower low, and why $63K and $73K now matter most.
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🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE
https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss
https://thedefireport.io/friends
https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/
https://x.com/the_defi_report
https://x.com/JustDeauIt
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
3:27 Fair Value and Capitulation
8:10 Time-Based Selloff
13:07 Searching for Demand
16:13 Miners Under Pressure
18:45 Strategy and Saylor
21:25 Iran and Oil Risk
28:28 AI Speculation Peaks
34:06 Macro or On-Chain?
37:04 Bitcoin Levels to Watch
41:25 TDR Updates and Outlook
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.
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Sobre The DeFi Report
Our weekly show is hosted by Michael Nadeau (The DeFi Report) and Ryan Sean Adams (Bankless). Each week, we discuss how we approach managing our own portfolio and the data, research, and analytical frameworks that inform those decisions — for educational and informational purposes.
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