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If/Then

Stanford GSB
If/Then
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58 episódios

  • If/Then

    Think Fast Talk Smart: "What Other People Teach You About Your Communication"

    26/08/2026 | 20min
    What if purpose is what drives us to act, but meaning comes from how those actions affect other people?
    This week on If/Then, we’re sharing a conversation between two Stanford GSB colleagues: Think Fast, Talk Smart host Matt Abrahams and organizational behavior professor Brian Lowery.
    Recorded live at Stanford’s LEAD Me2We event, Matt and Brian explore the difference between purpose and meaning, why meaning is rooted in our relationships with others, and how the way we show up shapes the people around us. They also discuss sincerity, leadership, and how to give feedback that helps people feel seen rather than judged.
    It’s a conversation about the ripple effects of our interactions — and what they mean for how we work, lead, and connect with others.

    Related Content:
    Think Fast Talk Smart, the podcast
    Matt Abrahams
    Brian Lowery

    Chapters:
    00:00:00 Introduction
    00:01:14 Meaning vs. purpose
    00:02:14 How to find purpose
    00:02:50 Finding meaning through service to others
    00:04:49 How relationships shape identity
    00:05:54 The leader’s role in shaping others
    00:09:32 Self-awareness and psychological safety
    00:11:10 Respecting perspectives you don’t share
    00:12:23 Sincerity vs. authenticity
    00:13:28 Giving feedback that people can hear
    00:17:47 What it means to be a better human
    00:18:57 Conclusion

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
  • If/Then

    Stanford Legal: "The Importance of Critical Thinking and Civil Discourse in Today's Polarized World"

    08/07/2026 | 32min
    How do you engage effectively across deep disagreement without shutting down the conversation?
    This week on If/Then, we’re sharing an episode from our colleagues at Stanford Legal, the podcast from Stanford Law School that looks at the cases, questions, and conflicts shaping public life.
    In a world where confidence is rewarded and humility can feel like a liability, Stanford Law professor Robert MacCoun argues for something radical: fewer unwavering opinions, more critical reflection, and a better way to disagree. On Stanford Legal, MacCoun joins co-hosts Pam Karlan and Diego Zambrano for a conversation about how “habits of mind” borrowed from science can help citizens, lawyers, and policymakers think more clearly, listen more carefully, and build better public debate around difficult questions that don’t have easy answers.
    Trained as a social psychologist, MacCoun's work sits at the intersection of law, science, and public policy, with decades of research on decision-making, bias, and the social dynamics that shape how evidence is interpreted. In the episode, he draws on his most recent book, Third Millennium Thinking: Creating Sense in a World of Nonsense, co-authored with Nobel Prize–winning physicist Saul Perlmutter and philosopher John Campbell, to explain why probabilistic thinking, intellectual humility, and what he calls an “opinion diet” are essential tools for modern civic life.

    Related Content:
    Robert MacCoun faculty profile
    Third Millenium Thinking
    Stanford Legal Podcast

    Chapters:
    00:00:00 Introduction
    00:01:23 The course, the book, & what motivated it
    00:04:06 Habits of mind for better decision-making
    00:06:20 Probabilistic thinking and intellectual humility
    00:09:57 An “opinion diet”
    00:12:16 Reasonable doubt, community, & collective judgment
    00:14:13 Scientific optimism and the problem of cynicism
    00:17:31 Why trust in science has eroded
    00:20:10 Law, science, & the value of procedure
    00:22:50 Steel-manning the other side
    00:24:58 Public policy as provisional problem-solving
    00:30:07 Deliberative democracy and informed public debate
    00:32:03 Conclusion
    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
  • If/Then

    What AI Can’t Do — And Why

    25/06/2026 | 28min
    “Humans manage to do so much with surprisingly little,” says Douglas Guilbeault, an assistant professor of organizational behavior at Stanford Graduate School of Business. “Whereas AI, by comparison, is doing relatively little, but with so much power, so much compute, so many resources, and by comparison, relatively fewer constraints.”
    On a bonus episode of the If/Then podcast, Guilbeault describes the implications of his recent work. Although he readily acknowledges that AI is “increasingly able to do quite a lot,” Guilbeault and his colleagues believe they have identified a key principle that distinguishes human intelligence from machine intelligence — and one which illuminates the limitations of machine thinking.
    Although some researchers and AI boosters believe both humans and AI learn via optimization, Guilbeault and his colleagues have shown that another process more accurately captures how people distill the seemingly infinite complexity of the world and act based on limited information.
    “You encounter a lot of noise, a lot of chaos, a lot of randomness,” Guilbeault says. “We somehow figure out how to make meaning and establish strong understandings from within that.”
    What limitations have you encountered in your work with AI? Share your story with us at ifthenpod@stanford.edu.
    Related Content:
    Douglas Guilbeault faculty profile
    Read "A Simple Threshold Captures the Social Learning of Conventions" here

    Chapters:
    00:00:00 Introduction
    00:01:40 Why human learning matters for AI
    00:05:03 Satisficing and the limits of optimization
    00:06:41 Why LLMs learn differently from humans
    00:09:58 The stakes of AI hype
    00:13:11 “Humanity has had a good run”
    00:15:19 Intuition, insight, & conceptual leaps
    00:17:38 Beyond statistics: metaphor, vibes, & reasoning
    00:19:39 A simple rule for social learning
    00:21:18 Is there a ceiling for AI?
    00:23:00 Randomness, disorder, & the path to insight
    00:25:00 What an optimization mindset leaves out
    00:27:54 Conclusion

    If/Then, from Stanford GSB, features conversations with faculty that explore how their research deepens our understanding of business and leadership.
    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
  • If/Then

    Our AI Future: From Abundance to Apocalypse

    10/06/2026 | 45min
    Chad Jones, a professor of economics at Stanford Graduate School of Business, recently published a paper, “AI and Our Economic Future.” Using more than 100 years of economic data, he modelled several potential AI-infused economic futures we may experience. These include the good (abundance, we never work again), the not-so-bad (business more or less as usual), and the ugly (a superintelligence that turns on us, among other catastrophic options). Cheery stuff, Jones acknowledges, but essential to face.
    “I think the ability for an AI to do everything on a computer that the best software engineer can do, that seems like it’s either here now or will be here within five years easily,” Jones says. “Hacking the electric grid, hacking the financial system, these kinds of scenarios are things that we definitely have to worry about. The good news is, I think if we get through that, the ability of AI to transform the economy for good, it is really there and present. And, that would be a very great and bright future.”
    Related Content:
    Chad Jones faculty profile
    What’s the Price Tag for Preventing an AI Apocalypse?
    At What Point Do We Decide AI’s Risks Outweigh Its Promise?

    Chapters:
    00:00:00 Introduction
    00:01:32 The difference between now & previous periods of innovation
    00:02:29 Two scenarios for AI-driven growth
    00:06:18 The case for business-as-usual
    00:11:06 Weak links and the limits of automation
    00:17:53 What the models are showing about growth
    00:19:58 The economics of abundance
    00:25:29 The weak-link model’s timing & possible adaptations
    00:27:51 Who gains in an AI economy?
    00:29:55 Catastrophic risk and the downside of acceleration
    00:34:31 The downsides of the weak link model
    00:36:38 Meaning, identity, and human value
    00:39:55 Leisure in a post-work world
    00:41:43 What the next generation may inherit
    00:44:07 Conclusion
    If/Then, from Stanford GSB, features conversations with faculty that explore how their research deepens our understanding of business and leadership.
    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
  • If/Then

    The Art of Friction

    20/05/2026 | 23min
    “Friction for us has to do with obstacles,” says Hayagreeva “Huggy” Rao, a professor of organizational behavior at Stanford Graduate School of Business. “Obstacles can disable you. Obstacles can enable you.”
    Rao compares friction to cholesterol: Some is good, but some is bad. “Good friction actually slows you down, gets you to pause, and most of all, gets you to reflect,” he explains. “But there’s also friction that overwhelms you, exhausts you, confuses you.”
    On this episode of If/Then, Rao explores how to cultivate the productive kind of friction, reduce the unhelpful kind, and manage your team’s most precious resource. “Great leaders are people who think of themselves as trustees of other people's time,” he says.
    Do you have any favorite examples of good or bad friction? Share one with us at ifthenpod@stanford.edu.
    Related Content:
    Huggy Rao faculty profile
    The Friction Project
    How to become a friction fixer

    Chapters:
    00:00:00 Airport baggage claim, waiting, & good friction
    00:03:20 Introduction
    00:03:48 What friction means in organizations
    00:05:42 Where friction comes from
    00:07:52 Scaling through smart subtraction
    00:08:24 DropBox’s approach to meetings
    00:10:45 The problem with meetings
    00:13:53 What good friction looks like
    00:16:56 Friction, trust, & institutional legitimacy
    00:19:31 Why Huggy Rao started studying friction
    00:22:20 Conclusion

    See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Sobre If/Then
How do we lead with purpose, make better decisions, and navigate an uncertain future? On If/Then, Stanford GSB faculty break down cutting-edge research on leadership, strategy, and more, exploring enduring questions and the forces reshaping business and society today, from AI to geopolitics. Hosted by senior editor Kevin Cool.
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