RJ Bell's Dream Preview

• MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!

  Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 4

  Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg go over the top stories in baseball with betting leans for the week. 🔑 Key Points 🎯 Max Fried’s No-Hitter Controversy: Scorekeeper reclassified an error as a single mid-game, disrupting Fried's no-hit bid (7.2 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 K, 102 pitches)​. 🧠 Pitch Efficiency Benchmarks: Ideal pitch count is 13 per inning; staying under this keeps a pitcher in control with minimal stress​. 🏆 Veteran Handling & Stress: Josh argues that veterans like Fried know their bodies, and "stressful" innings—not pitch counts alone—should dictate decisions​. 💥 Kelenic vs. Acuña Jr. Discipline: Kelenic's premature home-run trot caused an out; Acuña's tweet referenced past double standards—sparking internal Braves friction​. 📉 Orioles’ Pitching Collapse: Orioles gave up 24 runs in one game; poor starters (Sugano, Morton, Kramer, Povich, Eflin) exposed the team's fragility​. 📊 Power Rankings (Top 5): Dodgers, Padres, Phillies, Mets, Rangers; ranked based on pitching, consistency, bullpen reliability, and current form​. 📈 Day Game Betting Edge: Home teams dominate early day games (e.g., before 2:30 PM ET) at 60%+ win rate; Cardinals are 5-1 in this slot​. 🧮 Orioles First Five Over Trend: Hottest bet in baseball—16-4-1 to the over in the first five innings​. 🧠 Mets vs Phillies Series Betting Tip: Strong lean toward first five unders based on matchups and bullpen data (Mets: 17-5 under, Phillies: 8-1 road under)​. 💸 Home Favorites Profitability: Betting all home favorites this season would yield $4,226 profit ($100 bets), with Padres (10-0) and Rangers (8-0) leading​. 📚 Summary by Section Max Fried’s Yanked No-Hitter (0:02–6:54) Scott and Josh dissect Fried’s near-no hitter against the Rays. Fried was in command, but a delayed official scoring decision transformed an error into a hit—nullifying his bid. Towers criticizes both the inconsistency and its timing, explaining how it likely rattled Fried's rhythm. Pitch Count & Stress Analysis (2:13–5:45) Towers distinguishes between “cruising” and “stressful” innings. Stressful innings (e.g., 35-pitch opening frames) wear pitchers down. He emphasizes that a no-hitter with low pitch count should not automatically trigger removal. Scorekeeping Controversy Fallout (6:55–15:21) Both hosts vent about the poor standards of MLB scorekeeping. Home team bias, inconsistency, and lack of universal scoring logic lead to absurd rulings. They argue it has real psychological impact on pitchers. Kelenic vs Acuña Jr. Incident (21:19–32:24) A viral tweet from Acuña exposed perceived double standards after Kelenic was not disciplined for lack of hustle. Towers criticizes Braves management for inconsistency and blames Kelenic's ego and history for the incident. Philly vs Mets Series Preview (33:15–38:36) The duo previews the upcoming Phillies-Mets series. Towers supports first-five unders due to strong starting pitchers (Sanchez, Wheeler, Peterson) and notes that bullpen form heavily affects series bets. Trends, Betting Systems, and Profitability (38:36–54:51) Scott shares deep betting data: Orioles: 16-4-1 to first-five overs Mets: 17-5 to first-five unders Rangers: 12-1 to full-game unders at home Home teams: 60.6% win rate in all games Home favorites: 155-76, +$4,226 ROI Power Rankings (54:51–1:05:58) Towers ranks top teams based on full scope—not just standings. Dodgers top due to consistency, Padres and Phillies close behind. Rangers enter top five due to rising pitching form and learning to win close games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  1:11:15
• MLB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!

  On the April 18, 2025 episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview MLB podcast, Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner provided in-depth analysis of the Friday baseball slate with betting insights. Munaf opened by highlighting his 5-1 betting record and credited their collaborative discussions for the success. The first matchup covered was Diamondbacks vs. Cubs (0:10–7:40). Corbin Burnes has struggled early, while Cubs starter Colin Rea provides potential value. Chicago leads MLB in runners in scoring position appearances and has scored 124 runs to Arizona’s 104. The Cubs as home underdogs and a lean to the over were discussed, depending on Wrigley Field wind. In Royals vs. Tigers (7:41–11:34), Cole Ragans faces top prospect Jackson Jobe. Kansas City’s offense has produced just 19 runs over its last 10 games and is 2-8 on the road. The Tigers’ bullpen is strong, and both hosts leaned toward Detroit plus money and under 7.5. Guardians vs. Pirates (11:35–15:11) features Luis Ortiz against Carmen Mlodzinski. Mlodzinski has a 1.77 WHIP with command issues. The Guardians were favored due to bullpen depth. Pittsburgh is 6-4 at home and to the over. There was a slight lean to Cleveland and possibly over 8.5. In Marlins vs. Phillies (15:12–19:08), Sandy Alcantara is no longer dominant, while Zack Wheeler boasts an 11-4 record and 2.73 ERA against Miami. Philadelphia is 24-11 in Wheeler’s home starts since 2023. The Phillies were a strong lean, especially on the run line. Yankees vs. Rays (19:49–25:11) featured Carlos Rodón, who has allowed 4+ earned runs and 3+ walks in three straight starts. Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a run in 21 career innings vs. the Yankees. Munaf’s best bet was Rays first five innings at -110. In Reds vs. Orioles (25:12–28:31), Andrew Abbott faces Cade Povich. While Abbott had a solid outing against Pittsburgh, Baltimore’s offense poses more danger. The Orioles were favored and offensive production expected. Mariners vs. Blue Jays (28:31–31:40) has Bryan Woo, who has struggled away from home, against Bowden Francis. Toronto is 7-3 at home and the over 7.5 was considered. Cardinals vs. Mets (31:42–35:05) pits Miles Mikolas against David Peterson. St. Louis is 1-6 on the road and lacks comeback potential. The Mets were the lean, especially on the run line. Griffin’s best bet was Braves -130 vs. Twins (35:06–38:12). Chris Paddack has lost all three starts by 2+ runs and Bryce Elder is trying to earn a rotation spot. In Red Sox vs. White Sox (38:13–41:46), Martín Pérez is a steady innings-eater. Boston has a negative run differential and both hosts were reluctant to back them as heavy favorites. Dodgers vs. Rangers (41:46–45:55) features Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has a 0.91 WHIP and 28 strikeouts in 22 innings, against Jacob deGrom, who’s allowed multiple home runs in consecutive starts. The Dodgers were favored early. In Astros vs. Padres (52:32–56:54), Kyle Hart rebounded after a poor debut, while Houston’s Ryan Gusto is unproven. The Padres are 15-4, and with Houston’s bullpen issues, San Diego at +123 was the consensus lean. Brewers vs. A’s (56:55–1:01:02) has Freddy Peralta allowing six earned runs over 23.1 innings. Milwaukee is 43-27 at home in his starts since 2018. Nationals vs. Rockies (1:01:11–1:04:14) features cold Denver weather and a low total of nine. MacKenzie Gore’s road struggles were noted, but Washington was the slight lean. Giants vs. Angels (1:04:14–1:07:43) featured Logan Webb’s consistency against Tyler Anderson. San Francisco is 9-4 on the road with eight wins by 2+ runs. Munaf leaned Giants run line. The episode ended with a promo for Pregame’s $1,000 MLB contest and 20 percent discount code HOMERUN20. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  1:16:29
• NBA Playoffs 1st Round Preview + Best Bets !!

  Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for the firs round. The guys break down each series and give out predictions and best bets. In the “NBA Playoffs 1st Round Preview + Best Bets” podcast, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers deliver a detailed analysis of six confirmed playoff matchups. Starting with Bucks vs. Pacers, they highlight Damian Lillard’s Game 1 absence and potential Game 3 return. Despite Indiana's strong finish and better trendline, both lean Milwaukee in six games, citing Giannis’ dominance, Halliburton’s road struggles, and playoff pedigree. Munaf mentions Doc Rivers’ questionable playoff history and the Bucks’ edge in rebounding and roster depth. Next, Knicks vs. Pistons shows New York as a clear -400 favorite. Mackenzie highlights Detroit’s weak half-court offense and inexperience. They agree Jalen Brunson is the best player in the series and pick Knicks in five, suggesting -2.5 games as a value bet. For Celtics vs. Magic, Boston is a -5000 favorite. Mackenzie acknowledges Orlando’s improvement to 17th in offense post-All-Star despite losing Jalen Suggs but criticizes their three-point shooting and sees Game 1 as a blowout. Munaf agrees, pointing to Boston’s depth and perimeter strength. They recommend a Magic team total under and predict a sweep or five-game series. Clippers vs. Nuggets is the tightest series, priced at -110 each. Mackenzie is hesitant to trust Kawhi Leonard’s health but notes the Clippers were strong late season. He values Denver’s playoff-tested core of Jokic, Murray, and Porter Jr., even with coaching changes. Munaf favors the Clippers in seven games, citing Ty Lue’s ability to adjust and Harden’s solid season. Both suggest betting the series after Game 1, with Denver favored by 2.5. In Lakers vs. Timberwolves, Munaf backs the Lakers based on star power and playoff history. Mackenzie points out their mediocre net rating and questions public overconfidence. He critiques Julius Randle’s poor playoff stats and remains skeptical of Minnesota’s secondary scoring. While Mackenzie sees potential in the Timberwolves, he passes on betting them now. Munaf lays the four points with the Lakers, expecting a statement in Game 1. In Rockets vs. Warriors, the hosts praise Houston’s growth but highlight their lack of playoff experience. Mackenzie notes Golden State’s poor half-court offense but trusts Curry and Green’s pedigree. Munaf calls it a development year for Houston and picks Warriors in six. They mention the low total for Game 1 and expect another under, given both teams’ tendencies. Mackenzie’s best bets are Knicks -7 and Trae Young under 26.5 points vs. Miami, based on historical defensive matchups. Munaf echoes the Knicks pick and supports Lakers -4, banking on home energy and playoff urgency. For Heat vs. Hawks, Munaf leans over on Miami’s team total, while Mackenzie prefers fading Trae Young. They note past eighth-seed play-in games are 6-1 to the under. For Mavericks vs. Grizzlies, Munaf leans under and highlights Dallas’ defense, while Mackenzie passes on a side but acknowledges Memphis’ volatility. Both hosts ground their takes in net rating, recent trends, EPM data, and postseason form. They avoid hyperbole, focusing on betting value, historical angles, and matchup dynamics, giving listeners a sharp and disciplined first-round betting guide. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  1:27:50
• Dream Podcast - NBA Playoffs Team Draft & Preview !!

  RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting. The wiseguy round table does the annual Vegas wiseguy NBA Playoff draft !! conduct a unique NBA Playoffs team draft, each receiving $250 to bid on teams, with scoring based on playoff progression: 1 point for the first round, 2 for the second, 4 for reaching the Finals, and 8 for winning the title. Boston and Oklahoma City (OKC) are split into halves due to their odds outweighing the individual cap. Mackenzie wins half of Boston for $131, arguing their elite two-way metrics and experience justify the price. He notes Boston’s 16–2 playoff run last year, strong net rating, and top-tier half-court efficiency. RJ and Fezzik counter with Cleveland’s comparable point differential and challenge the strength of Boston’s schedule in the East. Cleveland's hot shooting is scrutinized. Mackenzie explains their +18 clutch rating is extreme compared to the +4.5 average among playoff teams and unsustainable over time. Scott notes they played 38 clutch games, about average, while OKC’s low number of clutch situations (24) reflects dominance. OKC’s +12.6 point differential is the best in NBA history. They also had 38 wins by 15+ points and only 2 such losses. RJ emphasizes their resilience with an 18–10 record when trailing by double digits, far superior to the second-best 13–14 mark. Lower-tier play-in teams draw minimal bids. Miami goes to RJ for $3. Mackenzie critiques their 10-game losing streak post-Butler trade, Bam’s decline, and poor offensive efficiency, though Spolstra and slow pace offer playoff upside. Chicago is seen as improved since trading Zach LaVine, becoming a top-10 team post-All-Star break. Bulls are split among three drafters for $1 each. RJ also picks up Orlando, who are 1600-1 to beat Boston, and praised for grit but dismissed due to weak three-point shooting. Boston led the league with 53.6% of their shots from three, the highest rate in NBA history. RJ gets Detroit for $3. Mackenzie notes they’ve been the most upgraded team in his power rankings and highlights Cade Cunningham’s All-NBA case, but says they lack playoff-caliber depth. RJ grabs Milwaukee for $8, believing Giannis can carry them. The panel debates Lillard’s availability; Mackenzie is skeptical, estimating the line implies only a 25% chance he plays. Indiana, led by Tyrese Haliburton, is drafted by Fezzik for $15 due to their strong seeding and Milwaukee matchup. RJ then wins Cleveland for $111, citing their historic shooting profile. They’re the only team top five in both three-point rate and percentage. Mackenzie remains skeptical of their overall ceiling. Fezzik outbids the panel at $34 for the Knicks, but Scott highlights their 0-4 record against elite teams and suggests they’ve struggled against contenders. In the West, Scott makes a calculated move and takes half of OKC for $123. Mackenzie praises their evolution and improved playoff readiness. RJ wins the Clippers for $41, citing Kawhi’s elite playoff form when healthy. Fezzik takes Denver for $63, stating he preferred the Clippers but couldn’t risk being shut out. Scott grabs Golden State for $45 and the Lakers for $38, expecting both to have favorable paths if they advance. Mackenzie questions the Lakers’ hype, citing shallow margins and overperformance against weak opponents. RJ wins the other half of OKC unopposed. The show closes with MVP debates. Jokic’s season (52.5 combined PTS+REB+AST) surpasses all prior years, and media sentiment may swing votes his way. OKC's dominance and individual achievements are noted, but voter narratives and recent performances could shift ballots. RJ, Mackenzie, and Fezzik assess title probabilities and wrap with final rosters, confirming RJ and Mackenzie as high spenders and Scott’s OKC acquisition as the savviest draft moment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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