At Any Rate

• Global FX, Rates and Economics: Post-ECB and pre-trade deal thoughts

  Meera Chandan, Greg Fuzesi, Khagendra Gupta and Aditya Chordia discuss take-aways from the latest ECB meeting as well as expectations on the US-EU tariff negotiations for the outlook of European economy, rates and currency markets.    Speakers: Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy  Greg Fuzesi, Economic & Policy Research  Khagendra Gupta, Rates Strategy  Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy     This podcast was recorded on 25 July 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5034766-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5038613-0,  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5038418-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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• Global Commodities: Is volatility cheap in September?

  Brent and WTI volatility have reached their lowest levels since April, shifting from a bullish to a bearish put bias. As we look ahead to September, we expect a significant increase in volatility, driven by a convergence of both bullish and bearish factors that are set to take place during that month. Notably, Trump's 50-day ultimatum to Russia is set to expire on September 2, just a day before a new European price cap on Russian crude comes into effect on September 3. Additionally, snapback provisions on Iran could be triggered as early as September 1. Meanwhile, 600 kbd of additional summer demand in the Middle East will dissipate in September at exactly the same time as 4-5 mbd of global refining capacity shuts for fall maintenance.   Speaker:   Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research   This podcast was recorded on July 25, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5036481-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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• EM Fixed Income: Summer catch-up as spreads catch-down

  Jonny Goulden and Ben Ramsey discuss the latest market developments and their impacts for the EM fixed income asset class. This podcast was recorded on 25 July 2025. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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• US Rates: Previewing the August refunding announcement

  J.P. Morgan’s Jay Barry, Senior J.P. Morgan research and trading personnel will discuss their expectations for the refunding announcement as well as what it could mean for the Treasury market and swap spreads.   Speakers: Jay Barry - Head of Global Rates Strategy Phoebe White - US Rates Strategist & Head of US Inflation Strategy Eric Childs - Head of NA Rates Trading   This podcast was recorded on July 23, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5035275-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

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• Global FX: Japan & US policy implications for FX

  Arindam Sandilya, James Nelligan and Patrick Locke discuss the FX outlook in the context of the weekend’s Japan elections, US policy volatility and an upcoming ECB meeting.   This podcast was recorded on 18 July 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5032510-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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