Eurodollar University

Existing home sales utterly crashed in January. Yes, January is not a great month for real estate shopping and there was obviously less than ideal weather, however those don’t explain the 8.4% plunge in transactions. Analysts who were already factoring those other excuses only thought there would be a modest impact from them, not the biggest monthly drop in housing in four years. So much for that supposedly strong payroll report. 
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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NAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 8.4% Decrease in January
https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-8-4-decrease-in-january
Household Debt and Credit Report
https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc.html
Where Are Mortgage Delinquencies Rising the Most?
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/where-are-mortgage-delinquencies-rising-the-most/
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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

We really, really messed up the jobs data the past few years, we got it almost completely wrong, but trust us, we’re good now. That’s what the BLS is saying today about its estimates for jobs and employment and right now no one is buying it. Why should they? The agency screwed up so badly it now admits there were 1.03 million fewer payrolls as of December than it previously thought. One million fewer payrolls. 
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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The UK’s Prime Minister is hanging on for his career after a series of missteps has his own labor party almost in revolt. The current crisis was triggered by an ill-advised appointment of an ambassador to the US who is caught up in the Jeffrey Epstein mess. But that’s not really the issue. Once again, a government that came to power not even two years ago finds voters who can’t wait to throw it out of office.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.
Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Starmer banks on economic growth to 'rebuild Britain'
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clll8d2vd8yo
Why UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak called an election he’s expected to lose
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/24/uk/prime-minister-rishi-sunak-election-intl
UK Opinion Polls
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-opinion-polls
New UK prime minister Rishi Sunak warns ‘difficult decisions to come’
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/oct/25/rishi-sunak-warns-difficult-decisions-to-come-as-he-assumes-office
UK General election 2024 Results
https://www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/results
How unpopular is Britain’s Labour government?
https://www.economist.com/interactive/2025-british-politics
Europe's leaders are deeply unpopular
https://www.axios.com/2026/02/10/europe-leadership-crisis-starmer-macron-merz
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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Authorities in China are advising Chinese banks they need to seriously consider changing up their bond market allocations right now. Citing concentration risk as well as the possibility for volatility, regulators are supposedly trying to prevent depositories from buying bonds. If this sounds familiar, it should since the PBOC did something similar in the summer of 2024. But in this case, the asset being targeted isn’t local. 
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
China Urges Banks to Curb Exposure to US Treasuries
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-09/china-urges-banks-to-limit-holdings-of-us-treasuries-citing-market-volatility
Foreign Holdings of US Treasuries Climbed to Record in November
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-15/foreign-holdings-of-us-treasuries-climbed-to-record-in-november
Dollar Global Transaction Use Jumps to New High, Swift Says
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-22/dollar-global-transaction-usage-jumps-to-new-high-swift-says
PBOC Says No Longer in China’s Interest to Increase Reserves (2013)
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-11-20/pboc-says-no-longer-in-china-s-favor-to-boost-record-reserves
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Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

It was a trio of reports that turned an already shaky market into a disorderly mess. Private credit stocks were hit hard as were cryptocurrencies after ADP, Challenger and a delayed release from the BLS each overwhelmed expectations. Just more negative fuel to the selling fire as the riskiest financial markets were reeling from the economic implications.   
Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre
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Challenger Gray & Christmas
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-january-job-cuts-surge-lowest-january-hiring-on-record/
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