Holy Sh*t… Did You See What Just Happened in The Markets?!
December begins with a decided risk-off mood in financial markets, led by more painful liquidations in crypto. Bitcoin starts off the month with a nearly 7% drop to what would be a new recent low. Why? Economic woes continue to dominate concerns. Starting with Chicago, ISM’s regional business barometer put up its largest single month decline in new orders in more than two years. Backlogs crashed by nearly 22 points to the lowest since March 2009. Its employment index fell to the worst since May 2009, with not a single respondent saying it had increased employment last month. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's AFTER BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ISM Chicago Business Barometer November 2025https://drive.google.com/file/d/1N7xXT_P4Z_g7u0dJYI_kOYkSk1fcvLcQ/viewISM Manufacturing November 2025https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/pmi/november/S&P Global Press Releaseshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/public/release/pressreleasesBloomberg Small Businesses Turn to Lending Startups as Tariff Costs Mounthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-15/tariffs-drive-small-importers-to-costly-loans-as-lending-startups-surgeBloomberg First Brands’ Blowup Puts Trade Finance in Spotlighthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-10-19/first-brands-blowup-puts-trade-finance-in-spotlight-jnj-jpm-ubs-jefhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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21:25
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21:25
The REAL Crisis Just Started (And the Fed Is Hiding It)
HP becomes the latest big name to announce major layoffs, said to be around 6000 more white collar jobs. It’s getting to the point where despite all the mainstream and social media attention, call it fixation, on the tariff inflation faction at the Fed, the latest economic update from the central bank has almost nothing in it about that. Instead, it’s cover-to-cover with worries about HP, Amazon, and all the smaller businesses we never hear about who nonetheless are finding themselves on the same part of the flat Beveridge curve. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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17:26
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17:26
WTF! You Won’t Believe What China Just Did to the Dollar
China sold a record amount of Treasuries last quarter, which is actually more confirmation of the monetary tightening story over the summer which is now spilling out into the mainstream in the form of elevated repo rates, SOFR, and repo borrowing from the Fed. At the same time and for very much related reasons, private foreign counterparties were buying huge amounts of, yes, US Treasuries. There was no rejection at all, quite the contrary all of it pointing to growing expectations for the fallout from flat Beveridge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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20:50
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20:50
OMG! You Won’t Believe What Just Happened in the Repo Market
Repo. It’s back. Or more accurately, never really left. When we last left off with it, things were calming down which is not unusual in these circumstances. That didn’t mean it was a one-time, one-off matter, just that in the middle of the month there isn’t a whole lot going on. But now with the Thanksgiving holiday here and December approaching, repo rates are up, borrowing from the Fed is back, and in related developments the hedge fund-private credit world is getting spicier. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bloomberg UBS Boss Is Right on Private Credit Rating Riskshttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-11-06/ubs-boss-scores-one-for-banks-over-private-creditBIS The transformation of the life insurance industry: systemic risks and policy challengeshttps://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap161.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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20:12
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20:12
OMG… Did You See What Just Happened to Interest Rates?!
Despite half the Federal Reserve’s best efforts to take away the December rate cut, the bond market is signaling from top to bottom, back to front it doesn’t care one bit. The FOMC can spout off on tariff inflation, they can claim there is no way they’ll support lowering rates next month, yields are going down and taking inflation expectations with them. The bond market is making big moves despite KC Jeff and his federal funds band. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Eurodollar University's EARLY BLACK FRIDAY SALEGet our DDA+ subscription including the DDA, a membership, and the Daily Briefing for one ultra-low price. Not only that, we'll also include the Substack One Big Weekly Theme subscription to. Huge value and huge savings. https://https://www.eurodollar.university/black-friday-2025---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply in Novemberhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/Bloomberg Retail Sales Lost Steam in September as Shoppers Pulled Backhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-25/us-retail-sales-rose-0-2-in-september-as-consumers-pulled-backCNBC Core wholesale prices rose less than expected in September; retail sales gainhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/25/core-wholesale-prices-rose-less-than-expected-in-september-retail-sales-gain.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
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