UBS On-Air: Market Moves

As the US midterm elections draw closer, Kurt and Shane drop by to outline potential Election Day outcome scenarios, as well as the policy and market implications of them. Plus, we reflect on the recent summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, along with the geopolitical and economic implications of the ongoing US-Iran War. Featured are Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, from Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Bond markets remain nervous about the Iran war (which potentially impacts inflation and fiscal deficits). Investors hope that market angst might encourage a US policy shift, as it did with tariffs. However, (at the time), tariffs were under US President Trump’s direct control and could be changed on a whim. Middle Eastern politics is a little more complex.

Join Jeremy Zirin, Senior Portfolio Manager of the House View Equity Portfolios and Head of the Private Client US Equity Team with UBS Asset Management, as he shares a performance update for US equities. Host: Dominic Schagar, Senior Equity Investment Specialist. Recorded on 29.04.26

US President Trump declared that the US delayed attacking Iran because talks are going so well. Markets have been cautious in response. Equities failed to rally, because no attack is the status quo; and if investors have learned one thing about Axios reports of a deal, it is that these are historically a great reverse indicator. Oil prices did stop rising, perhaps reflecting a belief that this reiterates a US desire to find an exit.

Higher inflation and rates are near-term challenges. Policy-makers may respond by either exercising their policy "puts" or by making policy errors, both of which would impact near-term market performance. With the unofficial start of summer beginning this coming weekend, a question that investors may be asking is whether they should sell in May before they go away. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy