UBS On-Air: Market Moves

The US and Iran have been trading missile exchanges in the Gulf, pushing oil back over USD 90 per barrel. US President Trump posted a AI-generated video of Kharg Island being destroyed, but there appears to have been no attack in the Iranian facility and the muted nature of the hostilities has created a muted market response.

Advances in AI are beginning to move beyond digital tasks and into physical AI, raising the question of where value could accrue as machines become more adaptable in real-world environments. This episode explores how faster on-the-job learning could reshape automation, the hardware required to support it, and the investment implications across the emerging robotics supply chain.

Amidst the toasting of marshmallows at the Jackson Hole summer camp for economists, there are some hopes Federal Reserve Chair Warsh will offer a sensible structure for thinking about US monetary policy. Warsh’s communication style, telling investors “you figure it out”, is not working, creating uncertainty and introducing an unnecessary risk premium into financial markets.

AI data-center development is unlikely to stop, but the rules of engagement are changing. Local opposition, ratepayer concerns, and permitting scrutiny are shifting the debate from whether projects should be built to how costs, benefits, and community impacts should be allocated. Hear insights from Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas, Barry McAlinden, Fixed Income Strategist Americas, Jeannine Lennon, Municipal Strategist Americas, Jay Dobson, US Energy & Utilities Equity Strategist, and Nathaniel Gabriel, Materials & Industrials Equity Strategist: Host: Daniel Cassidy

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard reported that Iran and Oman have agreed to share revenues from tolls on shipping passing through the Strait of Hormuz—once the strait reopens. The announcement stresses that Iran is likely to keep stricter control over the strait after the war, but investors expect that. The announcement does not, of itself, suggest an imminent reopening of the strait.