Oaktree’s Rosenfelt on LME Tensions: State of Distressed Debt
Disqualified lender lists may be counterproductive because when you get to the negotiating room “it’s often the distressed funds that are the more ‘constructive’ from the perspective of the sponsor” says Ross Rosenfelt, a managing director in Oaktree’s Opportunities group. In this episode of the State of Distressed Debt podcast, Rosenfelt sits down with Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Negisa Balluku and Phil Brendel to explain why sponsors may be getting steered in the wrong direction when they put credit opportunity funds on their DQ list. He dives into Oaktree’s approach to liability management exercises, cooperation agreements and why recent related antitrust bluster around those agreements isn’t keeping him up at night (8:15). Prior to that, Brendel and BI’s Noel Hebert discuss their shared amazement at both the equity and debt markets’ ebullience. The podcast concludes with a round-table discussion on Sunnova, At Home, Wolfspeed, Marelli and Yellow Corp (1:06:00).
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1:33:51
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1:33:51
BI’s Huw Worthington, Ira Jersey Talk G3+ Rates: Macro Matters
US Treasury yields are the lowest among the G3+, once hedged back to US dollars. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence’s US interest rate strategist, and Huw Worthington, his European rate strategy counterpart, take up the topic in this episode of the Macro Matters podcast. The analysts discuss central bank policy action and government bond markets in general. They also discuss why long-end yields have been more sensitive to fears of rising deficits than shorter-maturity bonds. Terminal users can view their note on how Treasuries are the lowest-yielding sovereign bond market, after the currency hedge, by clicking here.
The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
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23:04
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23:04
Investor Survey, Trade War and Dollar, 2H Outlook: Credit Crunch
Credit and high yield had a good 1H, shaking off tariffs and a spread rout with a strong recovery. Will 2H be as strong, and why? Thomas Samson, high yield portfolio manager at Muzinich & Co., joins Mahesh Bhimalingam, Bloomberg Intelligence’s global head of credit strategy, on this episode of the Credit Crunch podcast, to discuss the results of BI’s 3Q High Yield Investor Survey, along with the market outlook. They also talk about dollar flows into euro-denominated assets, the trade war’s effect on market dispersions, and how private credit and loan markets are influencing high yield and default rates in 2H. They cover investor positioning, sentiment, key return drivers, supply forecasts and relative value across asset classes (high grade vs. junk), geography (Europe vs. US), ratings and sectors.
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38:58
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38:58
Euro-Dollar 2H Bullish View May Get Cyclical Support: FX Moment
The nearly 15% euro-dollar rally in 1H was fueled largely by dollar weakness and a potentially bullish cyclical case for the euro — especially expectations for a supportive fiscal and monetary policy mix — which may continue to support the outlook into 2H. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Chief G10 FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to Constantin Bolz, head of G10 FX for UBS’ Chief Investment Office, about how evolving euro-area and US fiscal and monetary policy may help euro-dollar strength into 2H and beyond, depending on how the US economic story plays out. They also discuss the de-dollarization trend and how the SNB could address the challenge of an appreciating franc.
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28:27
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28:27
Barings’ Bryan High on Adjusting to Volatility: Credit Crunch
“If you were a client that was focused on North America, you’re probably picking your head up a little bit and saying, ‘What else do you have away from North America that could be interesting?,’” according to Bryan High, head of Barings’ Global Private Finance Group. High joined Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert on this episode of the Credit Crunch podcast to talk about the benefits of a global platform amid uncertainty, when secondaries make sense, where the growth is in private credit and managing for effective leverage. They talk about being with a borrower through its life cycle, finding structures for less-conventional opportunities and much more.
The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
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