The Wolf Of All Streets

Bitcoin just triggered the signal that has marked every previous bear market bottom — half of all circulating BTC supply (roughly 10.5 million coins) is now trading at a loss per Glassnode/K33 Research, the first time this has happened since the late 2022 cycle low. But realized losses over the last 30 days sit at just 187,000 BTC versus 1.2 million after the FTX collapse, meaning capitulation hasn't actually hit yet. Meanwhile, Japan just delivered the biggest bullish policy shift of 2026 — reclassifying crypto as financial products, slashing the tax rate from 55% to 20%, and opening the door to spot crypto ETFs. Add Wall Street dumping $10.8 billion of tech stocks last week (largest tech outflow ever recorded), SoftBank trying to borrow $6 billion against its OpenAI stake just to keep funding OpenAI, Warren's Hail Mary to delay tomorrow's $75B SpaceX IPO, and the historical reality that the 10 biggest IPOs in history dropped 35% in their first six months — and today's setup may be the cleanest historic bottom signal we've seen in three years. We break down whether the supply-in-loss signal actually holds, why capitulation hasn't fully hit yet, what Japan's bombshell means for the bull case, and which catalysts could trigger the real cycle bottom before $50K comes into play.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bitcoin sits near $60K in despondency with fresh buyers scarce and warnings of a quick move to $50K before $75K as sellers line up higher up. This candid roundtable examines the grinding bottoming process and tough psychology of buying when it feels bad, while unpacking why substantial new capital is needed to overcome layered selling. The group explores AI draining liquidity into Spacex IPOs even as it builds an agentic economy on stablecoins and blockchain rails for machine payments, Spacex's space data centers solving AI's energy woes, miners pivoting to lucrative AI/HPC or serving as flexible grid balancers, AI agents adding BTC to portfolios, resilient hash rates from sovereign players, ETF outflows mostly from hedge funds while core holders and banks accumulate, and banks launching competing stablecoin networks amid stalled regulatory clarity. Could high money velocity spark a fast recovery from this muted phase or is deeper capitulation still ahead?
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bitcoin just posted its worst week since the FTX collapse — a 16% slide below $60,000, the steepest drop since Sam Bankman-Fried's exchange imploded in November 2022 — and analysts are warning the modest bounce to ~$61,300 may be short-lived. What makes this scarier than the FTX-era crash: there's no single catastrophic catalyst. Analysts are calling it a "silent bear market" because Bitcoin just broke below its 200-week moving average for the first time in this cycle, rate-cut bets have flipped to rate-HIKE bets thanks to strong U.S. jobs data, gold/silver/BTC are all falling together as the safe-haven thesis breaks, and Friday's $75 billion SpaceX IPO is poised to drain another $22.5B of retail capital directly out of crypto. Add Anthropic launching its zero-day-finding Mythos AI today (the same tech that found the four-year-old Zcash bug), Warsh planning to kill the Fed dot-plot, JPMorgan deploying long-running autonomous AI agents, and today's U.S. CPI print landing into the chaos — and this may be the cleanest structural bear market we've seen all cycle. We break down whether the FTX comparison actually holds, what a 200-week MA break historically means for Bitcoin, and which catalysts could stop the bleeding before $50K comes into play.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bitcoin shed $235 billion in seven days and Arca CIO Jeff Dorman is calling Michael Saylor's "AI capital rotation" excuse for the crash pure "gaslighting." Strategy may have only ~5 months of cash flow left to fund STRC dividends, meaning the world's biggest Bitcoin buyer could become a steady forced seller. USDT just printed a golden cross (historically bearish for BTC), Bitcoin dominance cracked under 58% for the first time since September, and Bloomberg argues the entire industry is structurally pivoting away from speculation toward stablecoins. We break down whether Saylor IS gaslighting holders, when the forced-seller overhang breaks, and whether $60K is the cycle bottom or the trapdoor before $50K.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bitcoin bounces off its 200-week moving average amid a quick pump to $63.7K on Trump Iran comments before pulling back. The crew discusses whether this is a bull trap, double bottom test, or the start of a hated summer rally, while covering MicroStrategy’s latest BTC buy, SpaceX IPO liquidity drain, and AI sucking capital from crypto.

Other highlights include the Clarity Act push by Sen. Lummis, new crypto tax discussion drafts, Zcash’s Ironwood upgrade after a major bug discovery, altcoin weakness, leverage dynamics, and long-term Bitcoin adoption challenges around taxes, self-sovereignty, and bank balance sheet rules.

A wide-ranging market sentiment check with bullish long-term conviction.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices