PodcastsInvestimentosTop Traders Unplugged

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
Top Traders Unplugged
Último episódio

946 episódios

  • Top Traders Unplugged

    GM104: How the Dollar Quietly Took Over the World ft. Brendan Greeley

    08/07/2026 | 55min
    The US dollar has become so familiar that most investors rarely stop to ask how it became the world's dominant currency or why that dominance has endured. Brendan Greeley joins Alan Dunne to trace the dollar's remarkable journey from a silver coin in sixteenth century Europe to the foundation of modern global finance. Along the way they explore the hidden mechanics of money creation, the evolution of offshore dollars, the Federal Reserve's expanding role, and why the institutions supporting the dollar may matter far more than politics. It is a conversation that challenges many of the assumptions investors hold about money, banking and monetary policy.
    -----
    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
    -----

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    Follow Alan on LinkedIn.
    Follow Brendan on X.
    Episode TimeStamps:
    00:00 - Why the Fed's balance sheet deserves far more scrutiny
    00:57 - Brendan Greeley's journey from journalism to monetary history
    06:36 - How studying financial history changed his view of economics
    11:38 - The hidden difference between big money and small money
    17:43 - How the dollar existed before the United States
    26:40 - Why the dollar became the world's reserve currency
    29:36 - The birth of the Eurodollar market and offshore money creation
    34:53 - What really supports the dollar's global dominance
    40:09 - Could global finance split into competing currency blocs
    44:21 - Has the Federal Reserve become too powerful
    50:01 - Why QE, the Fed's balance sheet and future reforms matter
    52:53 - Brendan Greeley's essential book recommendation
    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
    ----
    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
    3. Other Resources that can help you
    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
    Privacy Policy
    Disclaimer
  • Top Traders Unplugged

    SI407: Why America Is Rewriting the Rules of Capitalism ft. Cem Karsan

    04/07/2026 | 1h 1min
    Markets may be entering one of the most important regime shifts in decades. Cem Karsan joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to argue that the United States is moving away from traditional free market capitalism towards a far more strategic model where government, markets and technology become increasingly intertwined. They discuss why positioning continues to dominate market behaviour, the growing role of sovereign investment, the future of AI driven capital spending, and why the next major turning point may arrive after the US midterm elections. It is a conversation that challenges conventional market thinking and explores how politics, policy and capital are becoming inseparable.
    -----
    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
    -----

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    Follow Cem on Twitter.
    Episode TimeStamps:
    00:00 - America at 250 and why major turning points often arrive after two and a half centuries
    03:43 - Why positioning matters more than headlines in today's markets
    07:53 - Soft US jobs data and the disconnect between markets and the economy
    09:15 - June performance review for trend followers and CTAs
    15:14 - Why America may be adopting a more strategic form of capitalism
    19:14 - The case for a US sovereign wealth fund and reshaping the financial system
    30:31 - Why the US dollar remains America's greatest strategic advantage
    37:52 - AI investment, capital spending and why this cycle may be different
    45:46 - Kevin Warsh, Scott Bessent and the changing relationship between the Fed and Treasury
    50:03 - The Summer of George and why market positioning dominates the summer months
    52:22 - Why the US midterm elections could become the next major market catalyst
    57:59 - Looking ahead to the second half of 2026
    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
    ----
    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
    3. Other Resources that can help you
    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
    Privacy Policy
    Disclaimer
  • Top Traders Unplugged

    GM103: Why Optimism Could Be the Most Contrarian Trade ft. Pippa Malmgren

    01/07/2026 | 1h 19min
    While much of the world is focused on geopolitical conflict, inflation and rising global tensions, Pippa Malmgren argues that a very different future may already be taking shape. Joining Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Cem Karsan, she explores how artificial intelligence, advanced energy, shifting diplomacy and technological innovation could reshape the global economy and even reduce the risk of war. From the future of the US dollar and China to nuclear energy, robotics and non human intelligence, this conversation challenges conventional thinking and offers an unusually optimistic perspective on one of the most consequential periods in modern history.
    -----
    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
    -----

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    Follow Cem on Twitter.
    Follow Pippa on X.
    Episode TimeStamps:
    00:00 - Why Pippa believes the future is far more optimistic than most expect
    01:05 - Reuniting after four years and revisiting major geopolitical themes
    03:11 - Digital finance, transparency and the changing role of the US Treasury
    06:40 - Ukraine, foreign policy and the debate over hidden funding networks
    12:01 - Why Pippa believes the world is moving toward a superpower rapprochement
    22:17 - The US dollar, China and competing visions of global leadership
    30:49 - Lessons from history, diplomacy and the search for lasting peace
    39:38 - Nuclear energy, AI and the race toward technological abundance
    45:48 - Populism, inequality and whether AI will widen or close the wealth gap
    55:32 - How societies can prepare for an AI driven future
    58:10 - Greenland, the Arctic and the strategic battle for space infrastructure
    01:04:20 - Pippa's father, diplomacy and the lessons that shaped her worldview
    01:09:28 - Non human intelligence, AI and the profound questions facing humanity
    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
    ----
    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
    3. Other Resources that can help you
    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
    Privacy Policy
    Disclaimer
  • Top Traders Unplugged

    SI406: Why Uncertainty Is a Trend Follower’s Best Friend ft. Mark Rzepczynski

    27/06/2026 | 1h 8min
    Markets rarely move in straight lines, but periods of uncertainty often create the biggest opportunities for systematic investors. Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Mark Rzepczynski examine why geopolitical shocks, changing Federal Reserve leadership and shifting market regimes continue to shape trend following performance. They explore why only a handful of markets often drive returns, how diversification really works when correlations suddenly rise, and why managed futures have historically stood apart during periods of elevated volatility. Along the way, they discuss the future of monetary policy, economic data, AI driven productivity and what investors should watch as the second half of the year unfolds.
    -----
    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
    -----

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    Follow Mark on Twitter.
    Episode TimeStamps:
    00:00 - Boston's World Cup beer shortage and remembering Alan Greenspan
    05:14 - Greenspan's legacy, interest rates and lessons from 1994
    10:45 - Trend following performance and the markets driving returns
    14:14 - Why diversification matters and how many markets are enough
    20:47 - Looking ahead to the second half of the year
    23:10 - What defines a market regime change
    27:49 - The new Fed Chair and five major policy priorities
    39:12 - Why monetary policy changes matter for trend followers
    48:28 - Research into hedge fund strategies and risk regimes
    56:06 - Why managed futures stand out during periods of market stress
    01:02:30 - Portfolio construction and the role of managed futures in uncertain markets
    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
    ----
    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
    3. Other Resources that can help you
    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
    Privacy Policy
    Disclaimer
  • Top Traders Unplugged

    IL50: Why Central Banks Are Losing Control of Inflation ft. Manoj Pradhan

    24/06/2026 | 1h 1min
    Manoj Pradhan returns to Top Traders Unplugged to explain why the forces that kept inflation and interest rates low for decades are now reversing. Drawing on themes from The Great Demographic Reversal and his new book The Unanchored Central Banker, he argues that aging populations, labor shortages, rising fiscal deficits, and the changing role of central banks are creating a very different macroeconomic landscape. The conversation explores why demographics matter more than many models assume, whether AI can offset labor shortages, and why central banks may increasingly be forced to choose between controlling inflation and maintaining fiscal stability.
    -----
    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
    -----

    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
    Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
    Follow Manoj on LinkedIn and Read his Book.
    Episode TimeStamps:
    00:00 - Why demographics matter for inflation and central banks
    03:05 - The demographic sweet spot that lowered inflation and rates
    06:28 - Why labor supply is now reversing
    12:15 - Global birth rates and the replacement rate problem
    17:03 - The fiscal blind spot in conventional economic models
    20:31 - Housing, urbanization, and real interest rates
    27:03 - Can AI offset labor shortages?
    37:24 - Policy ideas to increase labor supply and manage aging
    45:40 - Why central banks may become “unanchored”
    50:40 - The tension between inflation control and debt stability
    54:49 - Could high rates trigger a crisis and force policy reversal?
    58:28 - Final thoughts on demographics, debt, and the future of inflation
    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
    ----
    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
    3. Other Resources that can help you
    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
    Privacy Policy
    Disclaimer
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Sobre Top Traders Unplugged
Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think - not just what they trade. Hosted by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, the show goes deep into systematic trend following, global macro, and the principles that drive long-term success. No forecasts. No fads. Just real conversations with hedge fund managers, economists, authors, and allocators - revealing the timeless ideas, mental models, and risk frameworks behind robust performance. If you're building resilient portfolios, allocating capital, or simply looking to cut through the noise - this is your edge. Clear thinking. Deep insights. Real experience. 🎧 New episodes weekly. Explore all episodes at toptradersunplugged.com https://toptradersunplugged.com
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